Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Le Havre
33.5%
Draw
17.1%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Le Havre
vs
0.45
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS22.1%
Over 0.577.5%
Over 1.541.8%
Over 2.518.0%
Over 3.56.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
24.3%
0-0
22.5%
2-0
11.8%
0-1
11.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-0
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
0-2
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
2-2
1.2%
4-0
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).