Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.4%
Billericay Town
10.2%
Draw
5.4%
Sheppey United
Expected Goals (xG)
3.08
Billericay Town
vs
0.69
Sheppey United
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.572.6%
Over 3.552.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.3%
2-0
11.0%
4-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
4-1
6.0%
5-0
5.3%
1-1
4.7%
5-1
3.7%
3-2
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).