Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.6%
Southend
20.7%
Draw
16.7%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Southend
vs
1.11
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
0-0
4.2%
4-1
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).