Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Dunkerque
26.7%
Draw
16.3%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Dunkerque
vs
0.55
Bastia
Markets
BTTS30.5%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.555.4%
Over 2.529.4%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.1%
0-0
14.2%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
10.3%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
0-2
2.3%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).