Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Lincoln
22.3%
Draw
33.9%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Lincoln
vs
1.38
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-0
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
0-0
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).