Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.0%
Exeter
19.9%
Draw
13.1%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Exeter
vs
0.70
Newport County
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
2-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
8.6%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.5%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).