Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.6%
Sochi
23.4%
Draw
68.9%
Baltika Kaliningrad
Expected Goals (xG)
0.44
Sochi
vs
1.77
Baltika Kaliningrad
Markets
BTTS30.8%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.3%
0-2
17.1%
0-0
12.0%
0-3
10.1%
1-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
2.0%
2-1
1.9%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).