⚽ FootballData
2 – 4
AHT: 22

15 Mar 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
39.8%
Werder Bremen
27.6%
Draw
32.5%
Borussia Mönchengladbach

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Werder Bremen

vs
1.26

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Markets

BTTS55.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).