Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Almeria
18.7%
Draw
13.9%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Almeria
vs
0.88
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
4.5%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).