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HHT: 20CSV

22 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.8%
AEK
22.0%
Draw
17.1%
Levadeiakos

Expected Goals (xG)

2.12

AEK

vs
1.05

Levadeiakos

Markets

BTTS58.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.6%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
3-2
3.7%
0-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).