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AHT: 03CSV

30 Nov 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.8%
RB Leipzig
19.0%
Draw
16.3%
Wolfsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

2.49

RB Leipzig

vs
1.21

Wolfsburg

Markets

BTTS64.8%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.3%
Over 3.550.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.0%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
4-1
4.8%
3-2
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
4.0%
0-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).