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09 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.7%
Wealdstone
24.6%
Draw
19.7%
Ebbsfleet

Expected Goals (xG)

1.83

Wealdstone

vs
1.01

Ebbsfleet

Markets

BTTS54.4%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
3.1%
0-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).