Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Rijeka
29.3%
Draw
24.8%
Zagreb
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Rijeka
vs
1.02
Zagreb
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).