Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.3%
Malmö FF
22.7%
Draw
19.0%
Elfsborg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Malmö FF
vs
1.14
Elfsborg
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).