Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →2.1%
AVS
6.0%
Draw
91.9%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.42
AVS
vs
3.49
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS33.4%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.574.9%
Over 3.555.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
14.1%
0-4
12.4%
0-2
12.1%
0-5
8.6%
0-1
7.1%
1-3
6.0%
1-4
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
1-5
3.7%
1-1
2.8%
0-0
1.9%
2-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).