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HHT: 10CSV

21 Apr 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.3%
Werder Bremen
22.8%
Draw
55.8%
Stuttgart

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Werder Bremen

vs
2.00

Stuttgart

Markets

BTTS60.5%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.4%
0-1
7.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.6%
0-0
4.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-3
3.9%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).