Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Santander
19.4%
Draw
22.8%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Santander
vs
1.42
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS68.3%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.551.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.0%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
3-2
5.0%
3-0
5.0%
4-1
4.1%
0-1
3.4%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).