Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.0%
Crystal Palace
20.3%
Draw
7.8%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Crystal Palace
vs
0.58
Southampton
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.1%
1-0
13.1%
3-0
10.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
0-1
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).