Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.0%
Doncaster
24.3%
Draw
21.7%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Doncaster
vs
0.89
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).