Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
Magdeburg
22.9%
Draw
30.3%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Magdeburg
vs
1.63
Dresden
Markets
BTTS70.7%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.570.9%
Over 3.549.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-2
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).