Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.2%
Granada
32.0%
Draw
26.8%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Granada
vs
0.78
Burgos
Markets
BTTS34.8%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.554.1%
Over 2.527.4%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
0-0
16.1%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
12.7%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).