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DHT: 11CSV

18 Mar 2023 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.0%
Kasimpasa
30.3%
Draw
24.7%
Umraniyespor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.63

Kasimpasa

vs
1.18

Umraniyespor

Markets

BTTS58.6%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.9%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).