Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.3%
Sheffield United
27.3%
Draw
23.4%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Sheffield United
vs
1.01
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).