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AHT: 21CSV

18 Jan 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.1%
Anderlecht
27.0%
Draw
28.9%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Anderlecht

vs
1.17

Waregem

Markets

BTTS54.2%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).