Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.1%
Ad. Demirspor
9.1%
Draw
86.8%
Fenerbahce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Ad. Demirspor
vs
3.97
Fenerbahce
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.596.5%
Over 2.587.2%
Over 3.572.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
7.3%
1-3
7.3%
0-4
7.2%
1-4
7.2%
0-5
5.8%
1-5
5.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.6%
2-4
3.6%
1-1
3.5%
2-5
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).