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06 Apr 2026 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.9%
Elfsborg
27.1%
Draw
51.0%
IFK Göteborg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Elfsborg

vs
1.64

IFK Göteborg

Markets

BTTS52.3%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.6%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).