Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.9%
Akhmat Grozny
24.7%
Draw
17.4%
Krylya Sovetov
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Akhmat Grozny
vs
0.95
Krylya Sovetov
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).