Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.8%
Norwich
24.9%
Draw
49.4%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Norwich
vs
1.80
Fulham
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.6%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
1-0
5.0%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).