Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
Wolves
23.5%
Draw
63.8%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Wolves
vs
1.97
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.3%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.1%
0-0
7.7%
1-3
6.4%
0-4
4.0%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
1-0
3.6%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).