Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.4%
Tranmere
22.0%
Draw
48.6%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Tranmere
vs
1.83
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS62.4%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.539.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.7%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).