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08 Mar 2026 · 11:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.7%
Motor Lublin
27.9%
Draw
29.4%
Górnik Zabrze

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Motor Lublin

vs
1.18

Górnik Zabrze

Markets

BTTS54.3%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).