Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.4%
Lille
15.9%
Draw
10.6%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
Lille
vs
0.80
Troyes
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
4.6%
0-0
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).