Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.9%
Mansfield
15.6%
Draw
10.5%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
Mansfield
vs
0.79
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
1-0
10.1%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.4%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
4.6%
0-0
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).