Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Karpaty
27.1%
Draw
39.4%
Zorya Luhansk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Karpaty
vs
1.36
Zorya Luhansk
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).