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AHT: 11CSV

01 Feb 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.7%
Livingston
26.7%
Draw
27.5%
St Johnstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Livingston

vs
1.13

St Johnstone

Markets

BTTS53.6%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).