Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.4%
Crawley Town
25.9%
Draw
51.7%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Crawley Town
vs
1.44
Colchester
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
10.6%
0-0
9.7%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.6%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).