Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.3%
Andorra
21.9%
Draw
16.8%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Andorra
vs
0.86
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).