Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Livingston
23.4%
Draw
32.0%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Livingston
vs
1.54
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS66.7%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).