Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Nice
23.8%
Draw
38.6%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Nice
vs
1.43
Lille
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
0-1
9.0%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
0-0
5.2%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).