Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.7%
Southend
27.2%
Draw
50.1%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Southend
vs
1.58
Notts County
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.0%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).