Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.8%
Troyes
14.1%
Draw
77.2%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Troyes
vs
2.53
Lens
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.5%
0-3
10.5%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
1-3
7.5%
1-1
6.7%
0-4
6.7%
1-4
4.7%
0-0
3.5%
0-5
3.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).