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12 Sept 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.2%
Lyon
24.4%
Draw
29.3%
Strasbourg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.56

Lyon

vs
1.19

Strasbourg

Markets

BTTS54.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).