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AHT: 00CSV

21 Jan 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.5%
Bolton
26.6%
Draw
34.9%
Charlton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Bolton

vs
1.08

Charlton

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.5%
0-1
12.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).