Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Barnsley
16.3%
Draw
16.3%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Barnsley
vs
1.15
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.549.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
1-1
6.9%
3-0
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
4-1
4.8%
3-2
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
0-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).