Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.1%
Wealdstone
10.0%
Draw
3.9%
Welling United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.85
Wealdstone
vs
0.46
Welling United
Markets
BTTS34.7%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.8%
3-0
14.1%
1-0
10.5%
4-0
10.0%
2-1
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
5-0
5.7%
1-1
4.7%
4-1
4.6%
0-0
3.5%
5-1
2.6%
0-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).