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28 Feb 2021 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.0%
Reims
26.2%
Draw
15.8%
Montpellier

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Reims

vs
0.58

Montpellier

Markets

BTTS32.4%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.514.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
20.0%
2-0
13.6%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
10.5%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
0-2
2.3%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).