Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.4%
Monza
25.3%
Draw
20.3%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Monza
vs
1.02
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
0-1
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).