Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Wycombe
28.1%
Draw
39.6%
Derby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Wycombe
vs
1.09
Derby
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).