Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.1%
Falkirk
12.1%
Draw
6.8%
Montrose
Expected Goals (xG)
3.12
Falkirk
vs
0.87
Montrose
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.576.1%
Over 3.556.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.4%
2-0
9.0%
3-1
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
4-0
7.3%
4-1
6.4%
1-0
5.4%
1-1
5.3%
5-0
4.6%
5-1
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).