Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Dender
24.7%
Draw
43.5%
Waregem
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Dender
vs
1.66
Waregem
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
7.5%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
0-0
5.2%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).